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Originally Posted by Kaka--7thUCL
I think a real smart team when it comes to transfers is Milan(when they make one!) and inter.
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You gotta be kidding me ? It took them almost 1 billion spent on transfers and a relegation of Juventus for them to win something.
I was thinking about all this over-paying of youngsters and how much impossible is to make a perfect prediction and know if you are over-paying or you're not.
Just look at Ibrahimovic. Juve bought him for 19m euro. Just like Sneijder, Ibra came from Ajax and he was 23. He didn't have great goalscoring record (never scored more than 13 goals in 1 season, in Dutch league) , he never had big matches behind him.
At the time everybody thought Juve is seriously overpaying. After the first season it looked like Juve did spent the money wise. After his second season, those 19m again seemed like serious overpaying. When Juve was forced to sell him, i remember that people here objected a lot when they heard Milan wants to give more than 20m for Zlatan. After Inter payed 24m, people (including myself, i admit, even though i am huge fan of Zlatan) were laughing and again saying how Inter over-payed.
And now ? Did Juve overpay when we bought him for 19m euro ?
Then goes Henry. I'm not sure but i think he came to Juve on bosman rule. He was only 22 but already proven with a WC and EC won.
Then Juve sells him for 15m euro to Arsenal.
At the time when Arsenal bought him....did they overpay ? They payed 15m for a player who seriously failed his first test in a great club and great league.
Now Manchester Utd. They payed 18m euro for 18yo Cristiano Ronaldo. They payed 45m euro for 19yo Wayne Rooney and now they payed 21m euro for 20yo Nani.
Lets just imagine that we don't know how good Rooney and CR7 turned out to be.
Without that knowledge, do you think these two weren't worthy of the money ManU payed ?
And now, do you guys think ManU overpayed for Nani and he'll never live up to the price tag and the expectations ?
I have many more examples but this three will do. My point is that we make judgments very easily while in reality we're helpless to predict with a confidence how good will they turn out to be.
That's why scouts exists. They know a lot more about these youngsters than we do. If the scouts who followed Robinho thought that he'll be good and worthy to pay 22m then they had good reason for that.
But it's always a risk. Like i said, sometimes you get Kaka sometimes Legrottagllie.