04-11-2021, 08:54 PM
True. More teams are getting more points. Last year, the gap was between 4th and 5th. This year, the gap is between 7th and 8th. Interesting enough, 4th place last year (Lazio) finished with 78, but the 5th place team was at 70. So technically, it took 71 points to secure CL. This year, it's likely to take 78 to secure 4th. And the way things are going, who knows....crazy to say, but maybe even more then that (80/81).
It clearly means that the top 7 have improved and closed the gap between themselves...however the rest of the league is simply not that good. Point being...the safety line is probably going to be barely at 33-35..whereas usually, 40 is considered the magic number.
Anyway, like you said, it's nice to be in the lead of this CL pack. We just have to beat the 8th-20th place teams when we play them. Even if we lose vs the likes of Lazio/Juve/Atalanta....we'd still make it if we beat Genoa, Sassuolo, Cagliari, Benevento, Torino. Easier said then done. I'm not so sure those 5 will be sure wins....but at the same time, I don't expect to lose all 3 vs Lazio/Juve/Atalanta. So, safe to say....if that magic number ends up being 78 (very likely)...then simple math says we need 5 wins. I don't care who it is...just beat 5 teams.
It clearly means that the top 7 have improved and closed the gap between themselves...however the rest of the league is simply not that good. Point being...the safety line is probably going to be barely at 33-35..whereas usually, 40 is considered the magic number.
Anyway, like you said, it's nice to be in the lead of this CL pack. We just have to beat the 8th-20th place teams when we play them. Even if we lose vs the likes of Lazio/Juve/Atalanta....we'd still make it if we beat Genoa, Sassuolo, Cagliari, Benevento, Torino. Easier said then done. I'm not so sure those 5 will be sure wins....but at the same time, I don't expect to lose all 3 vs Lazio/Juve/Atalanta. So, safe to say....if that magic number ends up being 78 (very likely)...then simple math says we need 5 wins. I don't care who it is...just beat 5 teams.